Preseason Rankings
N.C. A&T
Mid-Eastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#325
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.9#259
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#327
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#297
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.2% 20.7% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 28.9% 59.9% 27.3%
.500 or above in Conference 69.0% 85.0% 68.2%
Conference Champion 17.1% 31.2% 16.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 1.5% 6.1%
First Four11.0% 14.6% 10.8%
First Round6.2% 12.6% 5.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 412 - 1013 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 58-76 5%    
  Nov 08, 2019 194   Charleston Southern L 67-72 31%    
  Nov 12, 2019 215   @ Western Carolina L 68-78 17%    
  Nov 15, 2019 34   @ Utah St. L 58-83 1%    
  Nov 19, 2019 152   @ North Texas L 58-72 10%    
  Nov 22, 2019 309   Nicholls St. L 70-72 44%    
  Nov 24, 2019 222   Eastern Michigan L 59-66 27%    
  Nov 30, 2019 298   Jacksonville W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 04, 2019 260   Longwood L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 07, 2019 136   @ Bradley L 58-73 10%    
  Dec 16, 2019 169   @ UTEP L 61-74 13%    
  Dec 21, 2019 91   @ Wake Forest L 60-79 5%    
  Dec 29, 2019 42   @ Illinois L 62-86 2%    
  Jan 06, 2020 341   Florida A&M W 66-60 70%    
  Jan 11, 2020 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 49-46 59%    
  Jan 13, 2020 349   @ Delaware St. W 54-52 56%    
  Jan 18, 2020 348   @ Coppin St. W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 20, 2020 329   @ Morgan St. L 72-75 42%    
  Jan 25, 2020 326   Bethune-Cookman W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 27, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 57-49 75%    
  Feb 01, 2020 318   Norfolk St. W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 03, 2020 323   South Carolina St. W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 08, 2020 326   @ Bethune-Cookman L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 10, 2020 341   @ Florida A&M W 64-63 51%    
  Feb 15, 2020 322   NC Central W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 22, 2020 337   Howard W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 24, 2020 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 52-43 76%    
  Mar 02, 2020 323   @ South Carolina St. L 70-73 40%    
  Mar 05, 2020 322   @ NC Central L 64-67 40%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 4.0 4.9 3.9 1.8 0.6 17.1 1st
2nd 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 13.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.4 3.6 0.9 0.1 12.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 4.9 3.7 0.7 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.4 3.8 0.7 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.1 0.8 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 4.3 1.3 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 3.2 1.5 0.1 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.5 0.2 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.1 4.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.8 6.0 7.4 10.0 11.6 11.8 12.2 10.9 9.4 6.7 4.1 1.9 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
15-1 99.5% 1.8    1.8 0.1
14-2 93.7% 3.9    3.2 0.6 0.0
13-3 73.9% 4.9    3.1 1.6 0.2 0.0
12-4 43.0% 4.0    1.6 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.0
11-5 14.7% 1.6    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 10.6 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.6% 49.9% 49.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3
15-1 1.9% 43.9% 43.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0
14-2 4.1% 40.1% 40.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6 2.5
13-3 6.7% 28.9% 28.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 4.7
12-4 9.4% 24.9% 24.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 7.0
11-5 10.9% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 9.2
10-6 12.2% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 1.5 10.6
9-7 11.8% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.9 10.8
8-8 11.6% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.6 11.0
7-9 10.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 9.8
6-10 7.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.3
5-11 6.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.9
4-12 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-13 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.8 87.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%